Higher Ed Chats
May 7th, 2025
19 minutes
Tailoring Student Recruitment for Domestic and International Success
The UK's international recruitment situation is the most difficult it's been in a generation. Dan describes the convergence of unfavorable factors: geopolitical friction, currency headwinds, and a domestic immigration narrative that's making the UK a harder sell abroad. With fewer overseas students in the market, institutions have responded by competing on scholarships and lowering entry requirements, creating a buyer's market for the students who are still choosing the UK. Sheffield's own international mix spans China as the largest source country, with active diversification into India, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand.
On the domestic side, the picture is different but no less tricky. UCAS had projected the UK would hit one million applicants by 2030. That milestone is now being revised down, with demographic growth stalling at the higher-tariff end of the market. Domestic tuition fees haven't changed since 2017, meaning real-terms funding per student has eroded through inflation. And post-2030, Dan expects the 18-year-old cohort to start shrinking again.
What makes this episode worth listening to closely is what Dan identifies as the throughline connecting both markets: the shift toward employability and return on investment as the dominant lens through which students, domestic and international alike, are now choosing where to study. "The focus, particularly in a globally economically turbulent time, is becoming on the outcomes and the, how is this going to fit my plan and what are you going to do to boost my employability?" As Dan notes, that shift accelerated sharply after COVID and shows no signs of slowing.
The conversation also gets into how Sheffield has spent five years actively reshaping its academic portfolio in response, and why Dan argues that university marketing strategies that treat recruitment as a marketing department problem are missing the point. "Securing the next pipeline of students is everyone's responsibility and not just the marketing departments." For enrollment managers thinking about how to increase student enrollment in a contracting market, that framing has real implications for how institutions are structured.
Who’s in the episode?
Dan Barcroft
Scott Miller is the host of Keystone Higher Ed Chats and the Executive Director of Keystone's international division, bringing over 11 years of EdTech experience to conversations about global education.
After graduating from DePauw University, living and working in different cultures showed him that stepping outside your comfort zone doesn't just broaden your horizons; it reshapes them entirely. That belief in the transformative power of international experiences brought Scott to Keystone in 2010, where he's spent over a decade (and counting) helping higher education institutions reach students worldwide.
On Keystone Higher Ed Chats, Scott speaks with thought-leaders in the industry about what he's most passionate about: how education changes lives, how cultural experiences broaden perspectives at any age, and how Keystone's mission—connecting students with their ideal higher education institution—makes those life-changing moments possible.
Timestamps & Takeaways
Timestamps
00:00
Introduction: Scott Miller welcomes Dan Barcroft from the University of Sheffield
02:14
Dan's background: 25+ years in higher education, from Schools Liaison to marketing director
04:27
Sheffield at a glance: 30,000 students, 8,000 staff, civic university roots
06:38
Sheffield's student mix: domestic undergrad profile and international student sources
08:41
UK domestic market pressures: stalling applications and the million-applicant question
10:36
International recruitment headwinds: the toughest climate in living memory
12:11
The buyer's market paradox: fewer students, more competitive scholarships
13:19
Converging student expectations: employability as the shared lens for domestic and international
15:49
What students want post-COVID: tangible outcomes and "what will this do for my career?
17:30
Whole-institution recruitment: why securing students is everyone's responsibility
19:00
Sheffield's portfolio review: five years of active academic program revitalization
20:16
The road to 2030 and beyond: UK demographics and what comes after the peak
22:11
Closing thoughts and wrap-up
Takeaways
Treat employability as the core message, not a supporting detail
Dan Barcroft noted that post-COVID, the question every prospective student is asking, domestic or international, has converged on one thing: "What will this degree do for my career?" Institutions that still lead with prestige, research rankings, or campus life risk missing students at the moment of decision. The smarter move is to put internships, industry partnerships, and employment outcomes front and center in recruitment messaging across every channel.
UK international recruitment is facing structural pressure, not a temporary dip
Multiple colleagues Barcroft consults told him they've never seen headwinds this strong, and the causes aren't going away: geopolitical tensions, currency volatility, a hostile immigration narrative, and students increasingly weighing cost-of-living against expected return. Institutions that treat 2024-25 as a one-off bad year will underinvest in diversification. The institutions that will recover fastest are already building pipeline into India, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand.
The buyer's market for international students is a short window worth using
With fewer international students competing for places, many UK institutions have started getting more competitive on scholarship offers and entry requirements. Barcroft pointed out that right now, if you're an international student considering the UK, it's actually not a bad time to be in that position. Enrollment teams should be honest about whether their scholarship positioning is competitive, and recruitment messaging should make these offers visible early in the decision process.
Don't let the million-applicant headline obscure the demographic cliff after 2030
UCAS projected UK applicants would hit one million by 2030, but that milestone is already being revised downward. And even if it's reached, the 18-year-old population is expected to decline again from 2031 onward. Institutions that are planning capacity and portfolio around peak-year demand will be caught short. Barcroft's implicit advice: plan for the trough, not the peak.
Review your academic portfolio as a continuous recruitment strategy, not a one-off exercise
Sheffield spent five years actively revitalizing its program portfolio, a sustained commitment, not a single restructure. Courses that don't map to current employer demand or student interest become a drag on conversion. A living portfolio review process, tied to labor market data and student search trends, is now as important as any single marketing campaign.
Recruitment has to be a whole-institution effort, marketing alone won't close the gap
Barcroft was direct: "Securing the next pipeline of students is everyone's responsibility and not just the marketing departments." Faculty engagement, academic advisors, and departmental staff all have a role in converting interest into enrollment. Institutions where recruitment sits exclusively in a central team will struggle to compete against those where it's embedded across the university.
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